Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.103916 0.119985 0.137718 0.158738 0.182984 0.210078 0.242667
2026-02-01 0.075181 0.095818 0.120913 0.153685 0.195386 0.246731 0.314843
2026-02-08 0.062324 0.085114 0.114772 0.156219 0.212720 0.287174 0.392975
2026-02-15 0.053015 0.076589 0.109009 0.156890 0.225928 0.322082 0.466607
2026-02-22 0.046527 0.070565 0.105240 0.158959 0.240270 0.359079 0.546558
2026-03-01 0.040101 0.063516 0.098764 0.155753 0.245840 0.383233 0.609677
2026-03-08 0.035107 0.057852 0.093447 0.153286 0.251702 0.407786 0.675470
2026-03-15 0.031816 0.054388 0.091008 0.154834 0.263739 0.442837 0.761541
2026-03-22 0.030077 0.053212 0.092036 0.162038 0.285667 0.496021 0.883540
2026-03-29 0.028107 0.051363 0.091649 0.166646 0.303469 0.543859 1.001419
2026-04-05 0.026232 0.049431 0.090848 0.170320 0.319845 0.590669 1.122397
2026-04-12 0.024291 0.047130 0.089091 0.171966 0.332538 0.631925 1.237380
2026-04-19 0.022029 0.044002 0.085537 0.169959 0.338377 0.661579 1.334720
2026-04-26 0.019617 0.040302 0.080502 0.164517 0.336943 0.677233 1.406522
2026-05-03 0.018395 0.038835 0.079634 0.167231 0.352004 0.726673 1.552175
2026-05-10 0.017093 0.037045 0.077908 0.167949 0.362956 0.768829 1.687250
2026-05-17 0.016066 0.035713 0.076963 0.170164 0.377233 0.819217 1.845480
2026-05-24 0.014643 0.033354 0.073592 0.166732 0.378821 0.842671 1.946855
2026-05-31 0.013433 0.031332 0.070729 0.164090 0.381828 0.869419 2.058545
2026-06-07 0.012670 0.030242 0.069809 0.165748 0.394783 0.919643 2.230277
2026-06-14 0.012398 0.030271 0.071420 0.173462 0.422702 1.006926 2.499995
2026-06-21 0.011944 0.029812 0.071849 0.178396 0.444496 1.082112 2.748801
2026-06-28 0.011454 0.029209 0.071870 0.182330 0.464257 1.154455 2.998750